predictions for 2006Yes, it is that time of year; the time when everybody and his dog looks back at the last year, comes up with top-ten lists, and makes predictions for the new year, most of which will be completely wrong. In the interests of making an utter fool of myself, I submit to you, dear readers, my list of predictions for Canadian politics for the coming year. Sometime in late December of 2006, I will look back on my predictions and we can all have a hearty laugh.
January 2-22: The Canadian federal election campaign shifts into high gear. Look for lots of negative attack ads, outrageous accusations, and numerous "the-Conservatives-are-going-to-bring-Canada-back-to-the-dark-ages-(circa 1985)" scare stories in the mainstream media. Watch as
Steve Janke,
Kate McMillan,
Warren Kinsella,
Paul Wells,
Colby Cosh and
Stephen Taylor change forever the battleground of Canadian politics from the mainstream media to the blogs.
January 23rd: Ontario voters, having swallowed the Liberal party line, hook, sinker, and pole, vote overwhelmingly for the Liberals, giving that party a clean sweep of the province. A few other seats here and there across the country also go to the Liberals, giving the party a majority government. Quebec is divided, with Montreal going all Liberal and the rest of the province voting for the Bloc Quebecois. The NDP gets a huge surge in seats, taking big chunks of Atlantic Canada and the Left Coast. The Conservatives sweep Alberta and much of Saskatchewan (with a few seats going to the NDP) and parts of Manitoba (which otherwise votes Liberal) and BC (which otherwise goes for the NDP and the Liberals). Final seat count: Liberals 160, BQ 57, Conservative 54, NDP 37, a Liberal majority government.
January 25th: the RCMP releases the results of their investigation into the insider trading scandal and charges Ralph Goodale and other key members of the Liberal party. The Liberal party sues the RCMP.
January 29th: Liberal MPs vote themselves a pay raise.
February 1st: Ralph Klein retires as leader of the Alberta PC party, triggering a leadership race.
March: Jim Dinning wins the leadership race for the Progressive Conservative party of Alberta, and calls a provincial election. Justice John Gomery releases the results of his inquiry into AdScam, implicating former Prime Minister Jean Chretien, Alphonso Gagliano, and several other key members of the federal Liberal party.
April: Amid a growing uproar in Quebec media over the AdScam sponsorship scandal, the Quebec Liberal government calls an election a mere two years after the last one.
May: the Alberta government, eager to have new leader Jim Dinning take his place in the Legislature as Premier, calls an election.
Late May: severely wounded by the revelations of the Gomery inquiry, Quebec punts the provincial Liberals to the wilderness. Final seat count: Parti Quebecois 70, Action Democratique 45, Quebec Liberal party 10.
June: In a surprise to everyone not living in Alberta, the Progressive Conservative party is soundly beaten by the
Alberta Alliance party, which wins a landslide victory. Final seat count: AAP 49,
Separation Party of Alberta 15, NDP 14, PC 5, Lib 0.
July: Alberta Alliance party begins to institute the firewall around Alberta, putting into place an Alberta police force, and collecting all taxes.
Late July: The federal Liberal government institutes a new National Energy Program, nationalizing the entire country's oil industry.
August: A motion to separate from Canada is tabled in the Alberta legislature, triggering a province-wide referendum.
September: the province of Quebec launches a similar separation referendum.
October 1st: Albertans vote to separate from Canada, giving me a wonderful birthday present.
November: Quebecers vote to separate from Canada.
December: Paul Martin resigns in disgrace (or is forced out by his MPs); he leaves office with "Prime Minister who broke up Canada" as his legacy.
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Canada